ウクライナ銀行 — 財務状態分析(CAFELS)

CAFELSはVRAnalyticsの適応型銀行格付けフレームワークです。CAMELS型の構成要素分析に、Management(M)の代わりにFlows(F)を用い、ネットキャッシュフローと活動構成を資本・資産・収益・流動性・感応度と併用します。

The composite score and probability of default (PD) are derived from these six pillars. Scores are research tools — not credit ratings or investment advice. Open a bank-level report or read the full methodology PDF for calculation details.

CAMELS vs CAFELS

Letter CAMELS (classic) CAFELS (VRAnalytics)
CCapital adequacyCapital adequacy — unchanged
AAsset qualityAsset quality — unchanged
FManagementFlows — NCF, operating / investing / financing split, composition of activities
EEarningsEarnings — unchanged
LLiquidityLiquidity — unchanged
SSensitivity to market riskSensitivity — unchanged

Replacing Management with Flows makes the assessment objective and data-driven: cash generation, sustainability of operating cash, and how activities are funded can be measured directly from bank reporting.

Six CAFELS components

C

Capital adequacy

Evaluates the strength and growth of regulatory and own funds relative to risk-weighted exposures and balance-sheet size.

  • Equity / assets ranked vs banking-market mean, median, and percentile
  • Leverage ratio, debt-to-equity (D/E), ROCE, working capital ratio
  • Simplified CAR and RWA (EBA/CRR standardised approach weights)
A

Asset quality

Assesses credit risk in the loan and investment portfolio, asset concentration, and deterioration signals in balance-sheet structure.

  • Asset composition and loan-book share
  • ECL / assets (%) from provision accounts ending in 9
  • Benchmark vs median ECL among banks with similar asset structure — above market is unfavorable
  • Relative asset growth and balance-sheet risk signals
E

Earnings

Covers profitability, income quality, and expense efficiency — whether earnings are sufficient to absorb losses and support capital.

  • Profit / loss after tax and ROA
  • Income and expense category mix
  • Profit drivers versus sector and peers
L

Liquidity

Examines the ability to meet short-term obligations: liquid assets, funding structure, and reliance on volatile funding sources.

  • Cash, NBU placements, and interbank balances
  • Marketable securities (incl. amortised cost, FVOCI, trading)
  • Deposit vs wholesale funding mix
S

Sensitivity to market risk

Captures exposure to interest-rate, FX, and other market moves that can erode capital or earnings under stress.

  • Financial stability indicators (FinStability)
  • Market-sensitive balance-sheet items
  • Sector stability dynamics over time

Composite score and PD

Component signals from C, A, F, E, L, and S are combined into a single probability of default (PD) estimate for each bank and reporting date. The PD maps to a letter score on the VRAnalytics scale (from aaa to c).

For monitoring, points are shown as (1 − PD) × 100 — higher is better. Use the calculator below for bank-level CAFELS component ratings, or open a full report for 12-month history.

Open bank financial condition reports Score methodology (PDF)

Calculate CAFELS for a bank

Select a Ukrainian bank to compute component ratings (1 = strong, 5 = weak) from the same balance-sheet, cash-flow, ROA, and income/expense ratios used across VRAnalytics.